reduction target
Identifying Climate Targets in National Laws and Policies using Machine Learning
Juhasz, Matyas, Marchand, Tina, Melwani, Roshan, Dutia, Kalyan, Goodenough, Sarah, Pim, Harrison, Franks, Henry
Quantified policy targets are a fundamental element of climate policy, typically characterised by domain-specific and technical language. Current methods for curating comprehensive views of global climate policy targets entail significant manual effort. At present there are few scalable methods for extracting climate targets from national laws or policies, which limits policymakers' and researchers' ability to (1) assess private and public sector alignment with global goals and (2) inform policy decisions. In this paper we present an approach for extracting mentions of climate targets from national laws and policies. We create an expert-annotated dataset identifying three categories of target ('Net Zero', 'Reduction' and 'Other' (e.g. renewable energy targets)) and train a classifier to reliably identify them in text. We investigate bias and equity impacts related to our model and identify specific years and country names as problematic features. Finally, we investigate the characteristics of the dataset produced by running this classifier on the Climate Policy Radar (CPR) dataset of global national climate laws and policies and UNFCCC submissions, highlighting the potential of automated and scalable data collection for existing climate policy databases and supporting further research. Our work represents a significant upgrade in the accessibility of these key climate policy elements for policymakers and researchers. We publish our model at https://huggingface.co/ClimatePolicyRadar/national-climate-targets and related dataset at https://huggingface.co/datasets/ClimatePolicyRadar/national-climate-targets.
ClimateBERT-NetZero: Detecting and Assessing Net Zero and Reduction Targets
Schimanski, Tobias, Bingler, Julia, Hyslop, Camilla, Kraus, Mathias, Leippold, Markus
Public and private actors struggle to assess the vast amounts of information about sustainability commitments made by various institutions. To address this problem, we create a novel tool for automatically detecting corporate, national, and regional net zero and reduction targets in three steps. First, we introduce an expert-annotated data set with 3.5K text samples. Second, we train and release ClimateBERT-NetZero, a natural language classifier to detect whether a text contains a net zero or reduction target. Third, we showcase its analysis potential with two use cases: We first demonstrate how ClimateBERT-NetZero can be combined with conventional question-answering (Q&A) models to analyze the ambitions displayed in net zero and reduction targets. Furthermore, we employ the ClimateBERT-NetZero model on quarterly earning call transcripts and outline how communication patterns evolve over time. Our experiments demonstrate promising pathways for extracting and analyzing net zero and emission reduction targets at scale.
A Machine Learning framework for an algorithmic trading system
New breakthroughs in AI make the headlines everyday. Far from the buzz of customer-facing businesses, the wide adoption and powerful applications of Machine Learning in Finance are less well known. In fact, there are few domains with as much historical, clean and structured data as the financial industry -- making it one of those predestined use cases where'learning machines' made an early mark with tremendous success that still continues. About three years ago, I got involved in developing Machine Learning (ML) models for price predictions and algorithmic trading in Energy markets, specifically for the European market of Carbon emission certificates. In this article, I want to share some of the learnings, approaches and insights which I have found relevant in all my ML projects since.